coakley rally, set to start in five minutes in middle school gym, is 3/4 empty. they've pulled curtain across middle of gym.that's fitting, because – until this week – martha coakley seems to have been about 1/4 of the way in this race.
take a look at virtually every poll that's been taken over the course of the last week or so and it's not hard to come to the conclusion that republican scott brown is gonna win the senate seat held by ted kennedy for 46 years.
some say the kennedy legacy is part of the reason brown is gonna win: ted kennedy was firmly entrenched in that seat for so long, his brother before him, that it's time for a change - and coakley looks like more of the same.
some say it's a state referendum on obama's policies, specifically health care reform.
i'd say it's about complacency and arrogance. dems couldn't imagine losing this seat. they didn't need to worry about it. then came coakley. from watching the rally on sunday, featuring a fired up president obama, i can easily say that coakley is a massive, colossal bore. when every other speaker in the room has the crowd ten times as riled up as you, there's a problem.
couple this with some amazingly naive gaffes on coakley's part (i'd know enough to not call curt shilling a yankees fan, please) and a republican candidate who is incredibly energized and motivated, and you're headed for disaster.
over the past year or so, there's been a lot of grumbling about what a buffoon rnc chairman michael steele is. no argument here. but right now i'm wondering, how good a job is dnc party chair tim kaine really doing?
do i want coakley to win? sure. does obama want a coakley win? damn straight. does the dnc? yup. but does coakley?
scott brown sure looks like he wants it.
i'm not sure what coakley wants.