Tuesday, November 11, 2008

marriage: take two

on proposition H8's passage...

andrew sullivanusing the sacramento bee as his source:
"The final analysis is pretty clear. There was a big overlap between new, largely black Obama voters and the forces for discrimination against gay married couples and our families...The massive black turnout was the critical factor."
nate silverusing, uh, the sacramento bee as his source:
"The notion that Prop 8 passed because of the Obama turnout surge is silly. Exit polls suggest that first-time voters -- the vast majority of whom were driven to turn out by Obama (he won 83 percent [!] of their votes) -- voted against Prop 8 by a 62-38 margin. More experienced voters voted for the measure 56-44, however, providing for its passage."
silver also has some comforting words about the future:
"The good news for supporters of marriage equity is that -- and there's no polite way to put this -- the older voters aren't going to be around for all that much longer, and they'll gradually be cycled out and replaced by younger voters who grew up in a more tolerant era...two or four or six or eight years from now, (marriage equality will) get across the finish line."

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